Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 18.234039 20.820214 23.771226 27.415687 31.834271 37.068159 43.812610
2025-08-03 15.233380 18.561110 22.709537 28.362038 36.026553 46.309493 61.607290
2025-08-10 13.067263 16.577774 21.206368 27.934932 37.787717 52.249225 76.264091
2025-08-17 11.545721 15.105798 20.007730 27.509903 39.210458 57.748930 91.710021
2025-08-24 10.447503 14.023921 19.131283 27.301614 40.773944 63.662138 109.704888
2025-08-31 9.434642 12.924163 18.054878 26.563848 41.260732 67.768188 125.735345
2025-09-07 8.703243 12.147345 17.350231 26.277408 42.400669 73.250922 146.752239
2025-09-14 7.872001 11.135569 16.163050 25.006704 41.519026 74.568408 158.814132
2025-09-21 7.139831 10.212648 15.023895 23.666189 40.266233 74.815074 168.362680
2025-09-28 6.623212 9.585189 14.303434 22.970483 40.136835 77.437308 185.596738
2025-10-05 6.837661 10.135621 15.579177 26.059126 48.226340 101.198877 281.280839
2025-10-12 6.667680 10.038951 15.734808 27.049676 52.083693 116.078464 361.351150
2025-10-19 6.220670 9.460809 15.018761 26.289770 51.988097 120.787801 408.172362
2025-10-26 6.047108 9.336277 15.108256 27.185835 56.032487 139.129411 539.782965
2025-11-02 5.718556 8.916246 14.612274 26.781825 56.775682 147.687069 634.684059
2025-11-09 5.421380 8.530218 14.145579 26.379723 57.447478 156.389053 746.405910
2025-11-16 5.175080 8.217934 13.792268 26.182627 58.637749 167.564333 899.588203
2025-11-23 4.892983 7.822902 13.246784 25.484301 58.298684 172.975667 1021.790343
2025-11-30 4.680146 7.541523 12.903124 25.213083 59.147029 183.649822 1224.633697
2025-12-07 4.385602 7.093170 12.195837 24.009287 57.010985 181.009968 1284.143226
2025-12-14 4.104090 6.656126 11.486244 22.738228 54.485986 175.935655 1309.460432
2025-12-21 3.902882 6.360041 11.045193 22.078099 53.756306 178.862524 1453.354398
2025-12-28 4.055665 6.738977 12.013638 25.006366 65.183427 247.759534 3107.754689